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- The Fall of the Resource Sector
The Fall of the Resource Sector
& the millionaires it will create
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Gold is near all-time highs, EV companies are producing more vehicles than ever before and the world is short on Copper, Uranium and Rare Earths - to name a few.
And resource companies fill the gaps for all these industries by supplying the materials.
So why does *almost* every resource stock seem to continue to drop?
NVIDIA is now more valuable than the entire S&P 500 Energy Sector. This makes sense because when the robots takeover the world they will steal all the natural resources on this planet.
— Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter)
3:57 PM • Feb 16, 2024
The Problems
Tech & AI stocks are hot - why risk everything with a risky lithium play when Meta is up 500% in 1.5 years?
Crypto is poaching investors - The young generation grew up with crypto and is more akin to crytpo mining than gold mining.
Rise of US apps - The gamestop saga and rise of investment from US youth means the need for in-person brokers is all but gone, and because most mining stocks are not available on apps like Robinhood (only NYSE or NASDAQ listed stocks), young US investors just aren’t buying them.
Economy woes - Let’s face it, the economy isn’t great, interest rates are high, inflation is high. When this happens people tend to invest in safe assets and hold cash; mining is not a safe asset.
LATEST NEWS
Feb 22, 2024 - Surge Battery declares highest-grade lithium clay resource in US
Feb 21, 2024 - Rio Tinto approves world's biggest mining project in west Africa
Feb 21, 2024 - First Quantum inks $500 million copper deal with Jiangxi amid Panama mine struggles
Feb 20, 2024 - Deep sea mining seems to be inevitable, says ISA chief
We’re seeing this even in strong mining companies with years of continued success and proven projects.
Take Newmont for example, a $35B market-cap gold stock, down over 20% YTD.
Even the giants are feeling it.
Fucking Newmont is such a fucking piece of shit.
Down 20% YTD while gold is down 2%.
New 50-year lows in price while gold is 50% higher over the same time period.
A shitty business with shitty management and shitty execution.
An absolute dog.
When will shareholders revolt?— TF Metals Report (@TFMetals)
3:33 PM • Feb 22, 2024
Where are we headed?
The biggest mining conference in the world, PDAC, is coming up in a few weeks and I expect the chatter to remain the same - this sucks.
The one saving grace is that resources are cyclical and the industy is confident we are on the heels of an uptick.
It’s hard to continue ‘buying the dip’ for 2 years in resources and watch the S&P 500 hit all time highs. Hint…take profits?
Investors are starting to leave.
That means cheap stocks for smart money. Will you be part of this group?
Smart money is accumulating in very specific areas (think copper, silicon, etc), and when this cycle starts ripping they will won’t yell from the rooftops “I told you so”.
They’ll simply drive their Toyota to the new family cottage and give you a wave on the way out.
👋 Colton, Stock Monster.
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